Fair value

Valuation

An estimate of what a share is worth from what the company earns and owns, apart from its price on the market.

How it is worked out

In Ploutos AI's analyses it comes from several methods together: a DCF on free cash flow and the multiples of the company's peer group (else its sector), with methods of their own for banks, REITs, insurers and utilities. The range runs from the lowest method to the highest, and the one figure shown is their weighted midpoint.

How to read it

  • It is a model's estimate, not a price target and not a forecast of where the price will go.
  • The closer the methods fall to each other, the narrower the range. When they are far apart the estimate says less, and the confidence grade shows it.
  • It moves with every new report and with interest rates, which change the return a buyer asks for. The free company pages show no fair value; only the analyses do.

Example

Three methods give $80, $95 and $100: the range is $80 to $100 and its midpoint, say, $92. With the share at $70, the price is $22 below the midpoint.

Related terms

Related pages

The other pages on US stocks, free to read. On the company pages, the last three fiscal years are open to everyone, five with a free account, and every year with Ploutos Investor.

Explanations of terms for learning, with examples from SEC filings.