Terminal value

Valuation

The value of all the years after the period a DCF forecasts in detail.

How it is worked out

Usually the last year's cash flow grown at a small steady rate, divided by the rate less that growth, brought back to today's value.

How to read it

  • In many DCFs it is more than half the total value, so its assumptions matter more than any other.
  • A long-run growth rate cannot sensibly beat the economy's growth for ever.

Example

$100m of cash flow in year ten, 2% growth, an 8% rate: a terminal value of about $1.7bn in that year (102 divided by 0.06).

Related terms

Related pages

The other pages on US stocks, free to read. On the company pages, the last three fiscal years are open to everyone, five with a free account, and every year with Ploutos Investor.

Explanations of terms for learning, with examples from SEC filings.